Well this season is not going according to plan. Of course, that's typical of baseball. However, this is not just baseball being baseball: Things should have gone better especially within a few games of McCutchen's injury. Despite their struggles, the team is 2.0 games back of the wild card with 20 to play. The Cubs are in control but Arizona, Milwaukee, and the Mets are within four games - that's one good series away from leading the pack. The Nats currently hold a 3-game lead for the top spot. My prediction for the Phillies is barely out of the playoffs come game 162 but an 85-77 record (five more wins than last year), again not what we envisioned after signing Harper and doing so well to start the year. It cost John Mallee. Who's next in terms of coaches and front office? I outline that here.
Middleton
He got Bryce, extended MacPhail & Klentak and pushed
for Mallee’s firing but those moves aren’t working out. He does pay attention
to the fans’ input and did have the foresight to rebuild after 2012 (and pushed
Amaro to start the process out) but he
delayed telling us about the extensions and was extremely slow to react to us
in the Mallee situation. I don’t think any sort of change in ownership should
be mandated by MLB but the accountability has to improve. Grade: C+/B- (79.5%)
MacPhail
All I can say is he has been largely absent from the view
of fans outside his two pressers. Another presser was needed for sure. Given
his extension and his role largely being invisible anyway, I’m ok with keeping
him but no more extensions. Grade: F+ (58%)
Klentak
Ultimately relying solely on the offense to carry our
team was a mistake but a decision that could have gone either way given the
need for flexibility at the trade deadline. He acquired a lot of guys recently
and they’ve helped keep the team afloat better than the Opening Day crop of
starters. Injuries, of course, really hurt the bullpen this year but If I were
to tell you (at the beginning of his tenure) that every one of Klentak’s
signings (Bryce was Middleton’s) would be a disaster, I would be laughed at. Yes,
I’ll give him a little credit for setting up the Harper signing. But what are
the odds of injuries and poor performance, especially these players? No, I have
no qualms with how careful he was during F.A. but his dugout coaching decisions
were awful. Hiring Kapler was the worst mistake he made (20/10 vision based on Gabe’s
previous [lack of] coaching experience/ success). Firing MacKanin may have been
worse but at the very least, he was fired a year too early.
No more extensions, especially with Mike Trout
essentially an Angel for life. Matt MUST demote Kapler to a front-office
assistant or fire him altogether. Will that occur? There’s no guarantee but the
odds increased a few weeks ago and the move MUST happen. I’ll then give Matt two
years to get this team up and running (coaching staff) but the roster MUST make
the postseason next year. Yes, the 2020 roster (2019 + Klentak cleaning it up a
bit) can make the postseason on their own. We won’t know how far they can go
until we have at least a year of the new manager. Grade: F (50%)
Kapler
You knew where I stand based on my evaluation of Klentak.
Gabe seldom uses the eye test. His players are out of touch with him (a la the
recent Cesar Hernandez punishment). And there’s no knowing how far he can take
this team if it makes the postseason this year or next. I’m willing to bet he
doesn’t make the Fall Classic nor manage or coach a team again once he’s fired (outside
shot of being a strength/ conditioning coach) but that’s his fault. Grade: F-
(40%)
Roster & Coaches
The rest of the roster will be evaluated more closely toward
the end of the season but I have some preliminary thoughts. I’d say Hernandez
& Franco go and Segura stays at least a year. Bruce is under contract - KEEP HiM HERE!!! Gotta extend Realmuto with Knapp getting one more year. Not sure about the
bullpen or rotation (demotions coming mostly). That’ll be addressed in F.A.
Unfortunately, we’re stuck with Arietta but we could add Hamels. Definitely
need some players in the minors to step up next year, which will give me a lot
more hope for 2021 in addition to 2020. AA Reading won their division so I’m
thinking that scenario will occur.
Manuel probably won’t want to stay on. The bullpen coach was dealt a bad hand with the
injuries so he can stay but Young’s mound visits didn’t make a difference most of the time. Send him out. I
think Dusty should be the next manager. He’s ready now (would’ve been ready
this year if Matt had given MacKanin another year). The strength and
conditioning philosophy all the way down needs to be reevaluated with all the injuries and inability of our pitchers to pitch deep into games. Does this require a change in S&C staff? Maybe. Most important is to extend some of these bullpen guys from the day they are signed (the month or so
after the draft).
Interesting.
ReplyDeleteSolid B-. Focus a little more and B+.
Peace and Love.